Dandalin Jaridar 'Yan Majalisa: Donald Trump Jr. Da Gidan White House Sun Shiga Rigimar Daidaita Kasuwar Hasashe

Duk wani yanayin da ake sarrafa kasuwannin hasashen da aka tsara a Amurka a halin yanzu yana fuskantar matsin lamba na siyasa wanda ba a taɓa gani ba. Duk fadar White House da Donald Trump Jr. sun shiga fagen faɗa a matakin jiha don ƙarfafa matsayin dandamali kamar su Kalshi da Polymarket. Duk da cewa Shugaba Donald Trump a baya ya bayyana waɗannan kasuwanni a watan Mayu a matsayin sabon nau'in Kasuwannin Kuɗi, cikakkun bayanai na baya-bayan nan sun nuna yadda goyon baya a bayan fage ya kasance. Wannan ba batun tattaunawa ce kawai ba, har ma da faɗa tsakanin muhimman sha'awar tattalin arziki da kamfanonin caca na gargajiya.

Donald Trump Jr. ya bayyana a taron kwana uku na masu shari'a na jihohi masu ra'ayin Republican a New Orleans a farkon watan Maris. Tare da Babban Jami'in Shari'a na Montana Austin Knudsen, ya yi nasa bayanin game da yadda za a tsara kasuwannin hasashen cikin hikima. Abubuwan da ke da alaƙa da kansu sun bayyana: Trump Jr. ya shiga Kalshi a matsayin mai ba da shawara kan dabaru a Janairu 2025 kuma ya sami $300,000 a hannun jari na kamfanin a matsayin wani ɓangare na alawus ɗinsa. Haka kuma yana ba da shawara ga Polymarket kuma yana da hannun jari ta hanyar kamfanin saka hannun jari na 1789 Capital. A New Orleans, ya yi jayayya cewa jami'an jiha suna tasiri ta hanyar masu ruwa da tsaki, musamman kamfanonin caca na gargajiya da ke son kare mulkin mallaka ta hanyar adawa da kasuwannin hasashen.

Lambobi da facts

Jihar North Carolina ta zama wani muhimmin wuri a cikin wannan takaddama. A farko dai, ‘yan majalisa sun gabatar da Dokar Majalisar 1171, wacce za ta sanya kasuwannin hasashen a karkashin dokokin caca na jihar, wanda hakan zai hana su ga mazauna yankin. Duk da haka, Fadar White House ta bayyana matsayinta kan tsarin mulkin jihar ga ‘yan majalisar, wanda ya haifar da sauyi sosai a manufofin. Kasafin kudin da aka samar ya sanya haraji na kashi 6 cikin dari kawai kan kudaden shiga na kasuwar hasashen. A gefe guda kuma, ana sanya haraji na kaso 23 cikin dari kan caca ta wasanni a North Carolina, wanda ke wakiltar gata mai mahimmanci ga sabbin dandamali. Kalshi ya kare hakan ta hanyar cewa kasuwannin hasashen da kuma gidajen caca suna da tsarin samar da kudaden shiga daban-daban.

“Kasuwannin zaɓe na nan ta kasance. An hana, an hana, an iyakance kuma an fitar da kasuwannin hasashen tsawon shekaru da yawa. Wannan nasara ta tabbatar da haƙƙinsu na kasancewa da bunƙasa.” - Tarek Mansour, Shugaba na Kalshi

A halin yanzu, Hukumar Kasuwancin Kayayyakin Kayayyaki (CFTC) ta janye hannunta daga fada kan kwangilolin zabe na takamaiman lokaci. Hakan ya biyo bayan jerin cin nasarar da Kalshi ta yi a kotu, inda kotunan suka yanke hukuncin cewa hukumar ta kasa nuna lalacewar jama'a. Duk da wannan, lamarin ya kasance mai rikitarwa. Hukumar CFTC ta shigar da kara a kan jihohi tara da ke kokarin tsara kasuwar hasashe da kansu. Abin sha'awa, dukkanin jihohi tara na karkashin jagorancin gwamnonin Jam'iyyar Democrat. Hukumar CFTC ta musanta nuna son kai na siyasa, tana mai cewa ta yi ne kawai saboda jihohin ne suka dauki mataki mafi tsauri.

Tarihin Baya

Babban batun muhawara shine yadda za a rarraba waɗannan samfuran. Shin su fare ne akan abubuwan da suka faru, ko kuma su derivatives na kuɗi ne don kare haɗarin tattalin arziki? Donald Trump Jr. ya bayyana su a matsayin samfuran kuɗi masu wayo waɗanda aka riga aka yi musu sa ido na tarayya, yana mai cewa bai kamata a ƙarƙashin ƙa'idojin caca na jiha ba. Wannan dabarar tana da nufin guje wa haɗin gwiwar dokokin jihohi 50 daban-daban. Hannun Jim Harrell, tsohon ma'aikacin majalisar North Carolina kuma manajan Kalshi na yanzu, ya nuna ƙwararren yanayin ƙoƙarin masana'antu na neman tasiri. Harrell ya taka rawa wajen samun ƙananan ƙididdigar haraji da kuma tabbatar da cewa dandamali masu rijista da CFTC za su iya aiki ba tare da lasisin jiha ba.

Me yasa hakan ke da mahimmanci ga 'yan wasan Jamus

Ga 'yan wasa a Jamus, yanayin Amurka yana zama abin koyi mai ban sha'awa game da rabuwar tsakanin kasuwannin kuɗi da caca. A Jamus, yanayin shari'a yana da tsauri saboda Yarjejeniyar Jihohi kan Caca ta 2021 (GlüStV 2021). Yayin da Amurka ke muhawara kan haraji na 6%, Jamus tana amfani da harajin fare na 5.3% akan betting na wasanni. Rukunin hasashe kamar waɗanda Kalshi ke bayarwa ba su da sauƙin shiga ta hanyar doka a Jamus, saboda zai yiwu a rarraba su a matsayin fare kan abubuwan zamantakewa. GlüStV 2021 ya ba da izinin yin fare akan abubuwan wasanni da sakamakonsu. Betting na abubuwan da ba na wasanni ba yana da iyaka sosai a kasuwar Jamus mai lasisi.

'Yan Jamus kuma dole ne su bi ƙa'idodi masu tsauri, kamar iyakar ajiya na masu ba da sabis daban-daban na Yuro 1,000 a kowane wata, wanda ake sa ido ta hanyar tsarin LUGAS. Yayin da a Amurka, CFTC a matsayin hukumar tarayya ke ƙoƙarin kula da cikakken ikon mallaka, Hukumar Haɗin Gwiwar Jihohi kan Caca (GGL) ita ce cibiyar kula da tsarin a Jamus. 'Yan Jamus ya kamata su tabbatar da cewa suna wasa ne kawai da masu samarwa da ke cikin jerin sunayen masu izini na GGL. Dandamalin Amurka ba tare da lasisin Jamus ba suna ba da kariya a ƙarƙashin dokar Jamus ko kuma tsarin kariya na 'yan wasa kamar OASIS.

Abin da ke nufi ga gidajen caca masu lasisin GGL

Ga masu aiki da lasisin GGL, ci gaban da ke faruwa a Amurka yana nuna damar gasa daga sabbin nau'ikan samfura. Idan rukunin hasashe suka kafa kansu a duniya a matsayin samfuran kuɗi kawai, suna iya ƙoƙarin guje wa ƙa'idodin caca masu tsauri. Gidajen caca na Jamus dole ne su ci gaba da bin iyakar Yuro 1 a kowane juyawa don ramummuka na dijital da kuma haramtacciyar tallace-tallace masu tsauri. Duk da haka, kasuwar Amurka tana nuna cewa neman tasiri da kuma rarraba su a matsayin samfurin kuɗi na iya haifar da fa'idodin haraji waɗanda ba za a iya tunanin su a halin yanzu a cikin tsarin kula da Jamus mai tsauri ba. GGL za ta sa ido sosai kan waɗannan ci gaban don tabbatar da cewa babu kasuwannin launin toka da ke tasowa a ƙarƙashin sunan samfuran kuɗi.