Kasuwannin Fata Gaggawa Suna Janar Matasa Maza
Kasuwannin fatawa ababen miliyoyin daloli ne, suna girma cikin sauri, musamman a tsakanin matasa maza. Wani bincike ya bayyana cewa kashi 71% na masu amfani maza ne, kuma kashi 26% na maza Amurka masu shekaru 18-24 suna amfani da waɗannan dandamali.
Fatawar Kasuwanni Suna Janar Matasa Maza Maza
Kasuwannin fatawar kan layi, kamar Polymarket da Kalshi, suna girma cikin sauri, sun zama fannin miliyoyin daloli. Wadannan dandamali, inda mutum zai iya yin fare kan abubuwan da suka faru daga wasanni zuwa ci gaban siyasa, galibinsu suna jan hankalin wani yanki na musamman: matasa maza. Wannan lamarin ya tayar da tambayoyi da dama, musamman dangane da hadari da kuma yadda ake sarrafa su. Kamar yadda Jonathan Cohen, Shugaban Manufofin Fare Wasanni a Cibiyar Amurka don Mazaje da Maza (AIBM), ya fada, "abubuwan da ake gani tabbas suna da alaƙa da matasa maza." Yana ganin akwai wani muhimmin tasiri na jijiyoyi a cikin sha'awar haɗarin da matasa maza ke da shi. Ya fi komai yin fare kawai; salon rayuwa ne da masu tasiri da kafofin sada zumunta ke ciyarwa. Jan hankalin wadannan kasuwanni ya zama kamar ya samo asali ne daga al'adar intanet, yana haɗa abubuwan cinikin crypto, saka hannun jari na meme, da kuma yin fare kan wasanni. Dandama kamar Polymarket da Kalshi ana kiransu "cinikayyar makomar kayayyaki" (commodity futures trading), ba yin kida ba. Wannan yana da sakamako mai faɗi ga dokoki. Duk da cewa masu aiki na jaddada cewa "informadandawa" ce, masu sukar na ganin wannan "an baiwadandawa" ce. Gaskiyar lamarin ita ce, abokan ciniki ba kawai kananan 'yan kida bane, har ma da "jdediddiddidundidundidundidundidundidundidundidundidundayendayen" (hedge funds) wadanda ke fitar da kudi daga masu saka hannun jari na Amateur. Abin da muke gani a nan na iya hadardardardardardardardardardardardardardardardardardardardardardardardardardardardardardardardardardardardardardardardardardardardardada} } tsawo ga matasa 'yan wasa. Asararsu galibi babba ce.
Kididdiga da Facts
Kasuwannin Fatawa babban kasuwanci ne. An kiyasta Kalshi kimanin dala biliyan 22, Polymarket kimanin dala biliyan 9. Bukatar yin fare a Amurka ta karu. Dangane da binciken kamfanin nazari Morning Consult, kashi 71% na masu amfani da kasuwar fatawa maza ne kuma galibinsu ba su kai shekaru 45 ba. Kashi 25% na maza Amurka masu shekaru 18 zuwa 24, takamaiman kashi 26%, sun bayar da rahoton amfani da akalla daya daga cikin wadannan dandamali a cikin watanni shida da suka gabata. A kwatanta, kashi 14% ne kawai na jama'a suka yi hakan.
"Kowa koyaushe yana da ra'ayi, amma wannan shine karo na farko a tarihi da za ku iya samun ra'ayi tare da kuɗin ku akan komai." – Cameron George, Cinikin Crypto kuma Mai kirkirar Abun Ciki
Babban yawancin fare a wadannan dandamali ana sanya su akan harkokin wasanni. Duk da haka, kasuwar fatawa ba ta da cece-kuce. Masu sukar na ganin suna rage hadarin yin kida. An ce tsarin da tallan dandamali na rage hadari. Sau da yawa, masu amfana su ne masu cinikin da ba su bayyana ba. Misali, Gannon Ken Van Dyke, wani soja na musamman na Amurka, ya ci sama da $409,000 ta hanyar zargin yin fare akan Polymarket game da korar shugaban Venezuela Nicolas Maduro kafin bayanin ya fito fili. Kusan sau biyu fiye da adadin asusun Polymarket da ke yin fare sama da $1,000 sun yi asara. Nazarin Wall Street Journal ya gano cewa kashi 67% na ribar da ake samu akan Polymarket tana zuwa ga kashi 0.1% na asusun.
Tarihi
Abubuwan da suka shafi kasuwar fatawa suna shiga cikin sha'awa daban-daban na maza: jifa da crypto, al'adar "finance bro", saka hannun jari na meme, da kuma kungiyoyin fatawar kan layi. Farfesa Elvira Bolat daga Jami'ar Bournemouth tana lura da wadannan hade-hade. Tana jayayya cewa dandamali na gabatar da kansu fiye da kasuwar bayanai ko wuraren ciniki, kodayake halayensu yana kama da yin kida sosai. Masu tasiri kamar YouTuber Logan Paul suma suna tallata dandamali, sau da yawa ba tare da bayar da hadari ba. Polymarket har ma ya bude wani mashaya mai suna "The Situation Room" a Washington D.C., wanda bidiyon bude shi galibi ke nuna maza. Kalshi ya fadawa BBC cewa adadin mata masu amfani a dandamalinsu ya karu daga kashi 13% zuwa 26% a cikin shekarar da ta gabata. Sun bayyana cewa suna aiki tare da kungiyoyi don yaki da matsalar kida da kuma inganta ciniki mai inganci. Duk da haka, a karkashin dokokin Amurka, masu tasiri ba dole ne su samar da gargadi game da hadari a wannan mahallin.
Me yasa yake da mahimmanci ga 'yan wasa na Jamus
Ga 'yan wasa na Jamus, duniyar kasuwar fatawar kan layi kamar yadda take a Amurka gaba daya ba ta da amfani a wannan tsari. A Jamus, duk kida ta kan layi tana karkashin ka'idoji masu tsauri a karkashin Yarjejeniyar Kasar kan Kida ta 2021 (GlüStV 2021). Wannan yana nufin cewa halaltacciyar kasuwar kida ta kan layi a Jamus tana rike da lasisi daga Hukumar Hadasardasardasardasardasardasardasardasardasardasardasardasardasardasardasardasardasardasardasardasardasardasardasardasardasardasardasardasardasardasardasardasardasardasardasardasardadardadardadardadardadardadardadardadardadardadardadardadardadardadardadardadardadardadardadardadardadardadardadardadardadardadardadardadardadardadardadardadardadardadardadardada} Kida ta Jihohi (GGL). Wannan GGL whitelist shine kadai hatimin inganci da 'yan wasa na Jamus ya kamata su amince da shi.
Dandamali kamar Polymarket ko Kalshi, wadanda suka bayyana kansu a matsayin "cinikayyar makomar kayayyaki" kuma ba yin kida ba a Amurka, mafi yiwuwa za a iya rarraba su a matsayin yin kida a Jamus. Don haka zasu kasance karkashin dokokin Jamus. Wadannan sun hada, a tsakanin sauran abubuwa, iyaka na Yuro 1 a kowane juyi akan na'urorin slot da kuma iyakar ajiya na wata-wata na Yuro 1,000 ta hanyar tsarin sa ido na tsakiya LUGAS. Wadannan matakan karewa na nufin kare matasa da masu hadari daga kudaden da ba su dace ba. Saboda haka, na ga hadarin kasuwar fatawa za a iya rarraba su a karshe a matsayin abin da suke: kida. Haka kuma zasu kasance karkashin sarrafawa a matsayin haka a Jamus. Matsalar "cinikin cikin gida" kamar yadda ake samu a wadannan dandamali a Amurka zata kasance wani keta hakkin dokokin kida a Jamus. Tsarin Jamus na nufin hana magudi da rashin adalci don tabbatar da daidaito. Kasuwannin fatawa wadanda ke ba da damar samun riba ta hanyar ilimin cikin gida sun saba wa ruhu da haruffan GlüStV 2021. Saboda haka, zan iya kawai gargadi sosai game da duba wadannan a matsayin manyan jarin saka hannun jari. Wannan wasa ne da za ku iya rasa da yawa.
Menene Ma'anar ga GGL-Lasisi Kasuwan Kida
Ci gaban da ake samu a Amurka a fili yake nuna yadda sarrafawa mai tsauri ke da mahimmanci ga kare 'yan wasa. Ga kasuwar kida mai lasisi na GGL a Jamus, wannan ya tabbatar da hanyar da aka zaba. GlüStV 2021, tare da cikakkun ka'idojinsa game da kare 'yan wasa, iyakokin ajiya, da kuma rajistar LUGAS ta tsakiya, tana samar da tsarin da aka tsara don hana dogon lokaci kamar yadda ake gani a kasuwar fatawa. masu Ayyukan kasuwar kida ta kan layi a Jamus ba su da hurumin yin aiki tukuna don yaki da matsalar kida da kuma gano kungiyoyin hadari. Tallace-tallace da talla suma suna karkashin ka'idoji masu tsauri don guje wa rage hadari da kuma kare matasa musamman. Hanyar da ake bi a Amurka, inda kasuwar fatawa ke kaucewa sarrafawa ta hanyar rarraba kansu a matsayin "kimanin kayayyaki", misali ne mara kyau. Yana karfafa bukatar bambance-bambance mai kyau da kuma aiwatar da dokokin kida sosai. GGL dole ne ta kasance mai fadakarwadakardakardakardakardakardakardakardakardakardakardakardakardakardakardadardadardadardadardadardadardadardadardadardadardadardadardadardadardadardadardadardadardadardadardadardadardadardadardadardadardadardadardadardadardadardadardadardadardadardadardadardadardadardadardadardadardadardadardadardadardadardadardadardadardadardadardadardadari} don hana irin waɗannan wuraren "yankunan toka" su samu tushe a Jamus. Bai kamata hakan ya faru ba, saboda illolin ga 'yan wasa zasu kasance babba.
"Ko wannan kida ne ko saka hannun jari, a ganina amsar ita ce 'Eh.' Domin duka ne." – Jason Trost, Wanda ya kafa Smarkets
Polymarket da Kalshi ba su aiki a Burtaniya saboda zasu kasance kida a can. Misali, babu ma iyakokin dandamali ta hanyar shekarun mai amfani. Duk da haka, ga Jamus, wannan lamari ne mai haske. Hakan kuma ya hada da talla tare da masu tasiri ba tare da gargadi game da hadari ba.
Tushen bayanai da ƙarin hanyoyi
- Hukumar Haɗin gwiwa ta Caca ta jihohin Jamus (GGL): gluecksspiel-behoerde.de
- Jerin farin sunayen masu ba da sabis na kan layi da aka amince da su: GGL-Whitelist
- Layin waya na BZgA game da jarabar caca: 0800 1 372 700 (kyauta, ba tare da suna ba, 24/7)
- Hanyar edita: Ka'idodin edita na Lustich.de
United StatesCaca na iya jawo jaraba. Yi wasa da alhaki. Taimako: 0800 1 372 700 (BZgA, kyauta kuma ba tare da suna ba).
